--- title: Is This the Bottom? description: Stocks ended April up 12%, the best month since the ’80s. At the same time, the 10-year Note yield, a benchmark for longer-term rates, has been unable to move convincingly beneath .60%. Both Stocks and the 10-year Note yield are forward-looking and appear, at the moment, to be ignoring the awful economic numbers that continue to roll in. image: https://www.carringtonwholesale.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/2/2020/05/Market-Trends_2020.05.04.jpg --- [Skip to content](https://info.carringtonmortgage.com/knowledge-base/is-this-the-bottom#main-content) ![bell icon](https://info.carringtonmortgage.com/hubfs/raw_assets/public/Templates/2022/svg/Alert-Notifications-Icon.svg) [![Carrington Mortgage Services](https://info.carringtonmortgage.com/hs-fs/hubfs/carrington_logo_final_2col_rgb.png?width=250&height=57&name=carrington_logo_final_2col_rgb.png)](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com) - [About Us](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/our-mission) - [Careers](https://www.carringtonhc.com/careers) - [Investors](https://www.carringtonhc.com/investors) - [Contact Us](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/contact-us) [Recent Transfer](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/new-customers) [Customer Login](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/login) MAKE HOME WORK Manage My Home arrow-down-anticon/submenu Manage My Mortgage arrow-down-anticon/submenu Learning Center MAKE HOME WORK Manage My Home arrow-down-anticon/submenu - I Am Ready to Start - [Buy a Home](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/home-loans/buy-a-home/check-existing-customer) - [Refinance My Home](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/home-loans/refinance-a-home/refinance-step) - What Loan Is Right For Me? - [Purchase Options](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/home-loans/buy-a-home) - [Refinance Options](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/home-loans/refinance-a-home) - What is Involved in Getting a Loan? - [The Loan Process](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/tools/loan-process) - I Want to Calculate... - [Monthly Mortgage Payment](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/tools/calculators) - [Home Affordability](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/tools/calculators#affordability) - [Cost to Refinance](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/tools/calculators#refinance) - [Loan Comparison](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/tools/calculators#comparison) - Partner With Us - [Home Builders](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/Partner-with-Us/home-builders) - [Real Estate Agents](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/Partner-with-Us/real-estate-agents) - I Have Questions - [Need an Expert](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/find-an-expert) Manage My Mortgage arrow-down-anticon/submenu - I Just Had My Loan Transferred Here - [New to Carrington Onboarding?](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/new-customers) - How Do I Repay My Loan - [Payment Options](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/payment-options) - [Payoff Statement](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/payoff-statements) - What Are Servicing Fees? - [See the Schedule of Fees](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/schedule-of-fees) - I Need Help With - [Mortgage Assistance](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/mortgage-assistance) - [Disaster Assistance](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/disaster-assistance) Learning Center - [About Us](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/our-mission) - [Careers](https://www.carringtonhc.com/careers) - [Investors](https://www.carringtonhc.com/investors) - [Contact Us](https://www.carringtonmortgage.com/contact-us) --- Recent Transfer --- Customer Login [Market Trends](https://info.carringtonmortgage.com/knowledge-base/tag/market-trends) # Is This the Bottom? [Jordan](https://info.carringtonmortgage.com/knowledge-base/author/jordan) [![Share on Facebook](https://info.carringtonmortgage.com/hs-fs/hubfs/EHO/facebook.png?width=24&name=facebook.png)](http://www.facebook.com/share.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Finfo.carringtonmortgage.com%2Fknowledge-base%2Fis-this-the-bottom%3Futm_medium%3Dsocial%26utm_source%3Dfacebook) [![Share on LinkedIn](https://info.carringtonmortgage.com/hs-fs/hubfs/EHO/linkedin.png?width=24&name=linkedin.png)](http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https%3A%2F%2Finfo.carringtonmortgage.com%2Fknowledge-base%2Fis-this-the-bottom%3Futm_medium%3Dsocial%26utm_source%3Dlinkedin) [![Share on Twitter](https://info.carringtonmortgage.com/hs-fs/hubfs/EHO/twitter.png?width=24&name=twitter.png)](https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?original_referer=https%3A%2F%2Finfo.carringtonmortgage.com%2Fknowledge-base%2Fis-this-the-bottom%3Futm_medium%3Dsocial%26utm_source%3Dtwitter&url=https%3A%2F%2Finfo.carringtonmortgage.com%2Fknowledge-base%2Fis-this-the-bottom%3Futm_medium%3Dsocial%26utm_source%3Dtwitter&source=tweetbutton&text=Is%20This%20the%20Bottom%3F) [![Share on Pinterest](https://static.hubspot.com/final/img/common/icons/social/pinterest-24x24.png)](http://pinterest.com/pin/create/button/?url=https%3A%2F%2Finfo.carringtonmortgage.com%2Fknowledge-base%2Fis-this-the-bottom%3Futm_medium%3Dsocial%26utm_source%3Dpinterest&media=https%3A%2F%2Fcms.carringtonhomeloans.com%2Fhubfs%2FEHO%2Fpinterest.png) [![Share on Email](https://info.carringtonmortgage.com/hs-fs/hubfs/EHO/email.png?width=24&name=email.png)](mailto:?subject=Check%20out%20https%3A%2F%2Finfo.carringtonmortgage.com%2Fknowledge-base%2Fis-this-the-bottom%3Futm_medium%3Dsocial%26utm_source%3Demail%20&body=Check%20out%20https%3A%2F%2Finfo.carringtonmortgage.com%2Fknowledge-base%2Fis-this-the-bottom%3Futm_medium%3Dsocial%26utm_source%3Demail) ![](https://www.carringtonwholesale.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/2/2020/05/Market-Trends_2020.05.04.jpg) **Last Week in Review:** Is This the Bottom? [![](https://www.carringtonwholesale.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/2/2020/05/Market-Trends_2020.05.04.jpg)](https://www.carringtonwholesale.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/2/2020/05/Market-Trends_2020.05.04.jpg) Home loan rates continue to hover near all-time lows, but there are three reasons why they should have improved but didn’t. Let’s take a look at some of the “Bond-friendly” news from this week that was unable to push mortgage-backed security (MBS) prices higher and home loan rates lower. 1. **Unemployment:** The unemployment line is growing. This past week another 3.85 million people filed for unemployment insurance, bringing the total to a staggering 30,000,000 since mid-March. Bonds embrace bad news, and this was bad news. 2. **Core PCE:** The Federal Reserve’s favorite gauge on consumer inflation, the Core Personal Expenditure Index (PCE), was reported at -0.1%, well beneath expectations. Inflation is like the tide that rises all boats — when it declines, like we are seeing, rates typically decline as well. That did not happen this week. 3. **Monetary Policy Statement:** This past week, the Federal Reserve issued their Monetary Policy Statement and shared that they will continue purchasing MBS “to support smooth market functioning.” Bonds and home loan rates were unable to improve further despite the Fed’s continued buying commitment. What does this tell us? Have we reached the “bottom” in rates? Quite possibly. Stocks ended April up 12%, the best month since the ’80s. At the same time, the 10-year Note yield, a benchmark for longer-term rates, has been unable to move convincingly beneath .60%. Both Stocks and the 10-year Note yield are forward-looking and appear, at the moment, to be ignoring the awful economic numbers that continue to roll in. Bottom line: For those who have an opportunity to lock in a home loan rate, now is an incredible time. It’s not yet clear that once our economy starts re-opening that rates will stay near current levels. If this week was any gauge, it is suggesting they won’t. ## Related Articles [![](https://info.carringtonmortgage.com/hubfs/IMAGES/Market%20Trends/Market%20Trends_2020.08.24.jpg)](https://info.carringtonmortgage.com/knowledge-base/new-home-prices-to-climb-this-fall) [Market Trends](https://info.carringtonmortgage.com/knowledge-base/tag/market-trends) ### [New Home Prices to Climb this Fall](https://info.carringtonmortgage.com/knowledge-base/new-home-prices-to-climb-this-fall) **Last Week in Review:** New Home Prices to Climb this Fall [Jordan](https://info.carringtonmortgage.com/knowledge-base/author/jordan) [Read More](https://info.carringtonmortgage.com/knowledge-base/new-home-prices-to-climb-this-fall) [![](https://info.carringtonmortgage.com/hubfs/new%20Market_Trends_BLOG_Template2.jpg)](https://info.carringtonmortgage.com/knowledge-base/land-of-confusion) [Work Trends](https://info.carringtonmortgage.com/knowledge-base/tag/work-trends) ### [Land of Confusion](https://info.carringtonmortgage.com/knowledge-base/land-of-confusion) This past week interest rates moved higher with the 10-year Note yield briefly touching the highest levels of the year. Let's discuss what has happened the past couple... 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